Alianza Lima vs Sport Huancayo Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Alianza Lima v Sport Huancayo — Team-Based Signals
Alianza Lima vs Sport Huancayo Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-0
HT 0-0
Sport Huancayo
PER
2-1
HT 1-1
Alianza Lima
PER
1-0
HT 0-0
Sport Huancayo
PER
2-0
HT 0-0
Alianza Lima
PER
1-1
HT 1-0
Sport Huancayo
PER
Alianza Lima 2-1 Sport Huancayo — Actual Match Statistics
Alianza Lima squeezed past Sport Huancayo 2-1.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Alianza Lima as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (68%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Alianza Lima had 51% of the ball to Sport Huancayo's 49%, shots finished 20-14, expected goals 1.89 to 0.38 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Alianza Lima's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Alianza Lima and 0.83 for Sport Huancayo.
What was the final score of Alianza Lima vs Sport Huancayo?
Alianza Lima 2-1 Sport Huancayo in the Peru - Premier League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Alianza Lima vs Sport Huancayo?
Before kick-off our model rated a Alianza Lima win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Alianza Lima 57%, draw 27%, Sport Huancayo 16%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Alianza Lima) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.