ADT 2-0 Union Comercio — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒23:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
61%
1.18
Draw
23%
6.26
Away
16%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
2.74
Over 2.5
45%
1.41
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.09
No
65%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
34%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
19%
X/2
5%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
6%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
61%
Home Win
80%
-19.7pp
23%
Draw
13%
+9.9pp
16%
Away Win
7%
+9.8pp
55%
Under 2.5
33%
+22.1pp
45%
Over 2.5
67%
-22.1pp
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
-9.3pp
65%
BTTS No
56%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME ADT EU Bookmakers 85%
Head to Head
AWAY Union Comercio EU Bookmakers 9%
-6% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -5%
1.66/0.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.54/1.82
-16% / +35% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -2%
59% Ball Possession 41%
17 Total Shots 6
7 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
389 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 226 · 72%
25.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 9.6
25.7 Crosses 9.2
1.3 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME ADT
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Union Comercio
2.67 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.20 xG 1.99
49% Ball Possession 51%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
253 Passes 258
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
19 Box Touches 22
20 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2024 Union Comercio Union Comercio 2-2 HT 1-0 ADT ADT PER
08.10.2023 ADT ADT 3-0 HT 0-0 Union Comercio Union Comercio PER
28.05.2023 Union Comercio Union Comercio 4-3 HT 0-2 ADT ADT PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME ADT
2-0
AWAY Union Comercio
1.90 xG 0.92
70% Ball Possession 30%
22 Total Shots 5
9 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 1
496 Passes 159
88% Pass Accuracy 68%
43 Box Touches 3
39 Crosses 3
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH ADT vs Union Comercio
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

ADT beat Union Comercio 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had ADT as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (65%) came in.

On the day, ADT had 70% of the ball to Union Comercio's 30%, shots finished 22-5, expected goals 1.90 to 0.92.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for ADT and 2.00 for Union Comercio.

What was the final score of ADT vs Union Comercio?

ADT 2-0 Union Comercio in the Peru - Premier League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for ADT vs Union Comercio?

Before kick-off our model rated a ADT win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split ADT 61%, draw 23%, Union Comercio 16%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (ADT), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (ADT) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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