Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Melgar v UTC Cajamarca — Team-Based Signals
Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-0
UTC Cajamarca
PER
0-0
HT 0-0
Melgar
PER
1-0
HT 0-0
UTC Cajamarca
PER
3-1
HT 0-0
Melgar
PER
0-1
HT 0-1
UTC Cajamarca
PER
Melgar 1-0 UTC Cajamarca — Actual Match Statistics
Melgar edged past UTC Cajamarca 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Melgar as the likeliest winner at 61%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — no to both teams scoring (58%) came in.
On the day, Melgar had 74% of the ball to UTC Cajamarca's 26%, shots finished 23-4, expected goals 2.76 to 0.32 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Melgar's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Melgar and 1.17 for UTC Cajamarca.
What was the final score of Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca?
Melgar 1-0 UTC Cajamarca in the Peru - Premier League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Melgar vs UTC Cajamarca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Melgar win the most likely single outcome at about 61%, with the full match-result split Melgar 61%, draw 23%, UTC Cajamarca 17%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Melgar), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.