Sport Huancayo 1-2 Alianza Lima — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 20 Oct 2025

📅20/10/2025 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
43%
2.38
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
32%
2.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
1.82
Over 2.5
53%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
24%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
20%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
43%
Home Win
38%
+4.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.4pp
33%
Away Win
35%
-2.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
51%
-4.2pp
53%
Over 2.5
49%
+4.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.5pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sport Huancayo EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Lima EU Bookmakers 38%
-6% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / +1%
1.28/1.22 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.04
+4% / -30% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +11%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
299 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 280 · 76%
20.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 17.9
20.2 Crosses 16.5
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sport Huancayo
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Alianza Lima
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.58 xG 1.58
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 6
312 Passes 336
79% Pass Accuracy 82%
11 Box Touches 27
11 Crosses 21
3 Yellow Cards 2
15.06.2025 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 0-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
23.10.2024 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 2-1 HT 2-1 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
12.05.2024 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 0-2 HT 0-0 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
17.08.2023 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
20.03.2023 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo 2-1 HT 1-1 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima PER
21.08.2022 Alianza Lima Alianza Lima 1-0 HT 0-0 Sport Huancayo Sport Huancayo PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Sport Huancayo
1-2
AWAY Alianza Lima
1.21 xG 1.68
58% Ball Possession 42%
21 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 7
9 Corners 3
340 Passes 218
84% Pass Accuracy 73%
27 Box Touches 21
28 Crosses 11
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Lima
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Alianza Lima edged past Sport Huancayo 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Sport Huancayo at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Sport Huancayo had 58% of the ball to Alianza Lima's 42%, shots finished 21-11, expected goals 1.21 to 1.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Alianza Lima led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Sport Huancayo and 1.17 for Alianza Lima.

What was the final score of Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Lima?

Sport Huancayo 1-2 Alianza Lima in the Peru - Premier League on 20/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sport Huancayo vs Alianza Lima?

Before kick-off our model rated a Sport Huancayo win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Sport Huancayo 43%, draw 25%, Alianza Lima 33%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Sport Huancayo) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Sport Huancayo) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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