Port Melbourne 0-4 Avondale Heights — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - National Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

📅18/08/2024 · 🕒08:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 0-4
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
26%
5.4
Draw
18%
4.62
Away
56%
1.4
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.96
Over 2.5
60%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.56
No
52%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
27%
6+ Goals
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
4%
X/1
9%
X/2
20%
X/X
10%
2/1
4%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
26%
Home Win
15%
+11.1pp
18%
Draw
18%
-0.7pp
56%
Away Win
67%
-10.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
30%
+9.6pp
60%
Over 2.5
70%
-9.6pp
48%
BTTS Yes
60%
-12.1pp
52%
BTTS No
40%
+12.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Port Melbourne EU Bookmakers 18%
Head to Head
AWAY Avondale Heights EU Bookmakers 71%
+22% / +22% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -14%
2.00/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.43/0.83
+91% / +29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / +16%
43% Ball Possession 57%
11 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
250 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses 16.8
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Port Melbourne
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Avondale Heights
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
1.39 xG 0.56
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
317 Passes 374
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
21 Crosses 15
3 Yellow Cards 2
11.05.2024 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 5-1 HT 2-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
20.05.2023 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 1-0 HT 0-0 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
18.02.2023 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 2-2 HT 1-1 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
26.07.2022 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights 1-2 HT 0-1 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne AVNPL
23.04.2022 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 0-2 HT 0-2 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
16.04.2021 Port Melbourne Port Melbourne 1-1 HT 1-0 Avondale Heights Avondale Heights AVNPL
POST-MATCH Port Melbourne vs Avondale Heights
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Avondale Heights swept aside Port Melbourne 4-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Avondale Heights as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%) came in.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Avondale Heights led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Port Melbourne and 2.00 for Avondale Heights.

What was the final score of Port Melbourne vs Avondale Heights?

Port Melbourne 0-4 Avondale Heights in the Australia - National Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Port Melbourne vs Avondale Heights?

Before kick-off our model rated an Avondale Heights win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Port Melbourne 26%, draw 18%, Avondale Heights 56%. The final score 0-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Avondale Heights), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Avondale Heights) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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