Boavista 0-1 Sporting Braga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Portugal - Premier League, 18 Aug 2024

Boavista
0-1 HT 0-1
Sporting Braga
📅18/08/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Portugal - Premier League – 2024/2025

Boavista vs Sporting Braga Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
4.65
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
45%
1.62
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.0
Over 2.5
49%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.75
2-3 Goals
39%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.25
6+ Goals
11%
11.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.75 — our 27% vs market 21.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
8.25
1/2
9%
22.7
1/X
7%
15.75
X/1
11%
10.7
X/2
16%
3.92
X/X
13%
5.37
2/1
6%
34.5
2/2
21%
2.03
2/X
6%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
18%
+10.2pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.0pp
46%
Away Win
58%
-12.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
46%
+4.8pp
49%
Over 2.5
54%
-4.8pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.6pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Boavista v Sporting Braga — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Boavista EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Sporting Braga EU Bookmakers 62%
+2% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +6%
1.09/1.31 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.83/1.22
+4% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +16% / -16%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
214 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 390 · 80%
15.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 26.1
18.4 Crosses 19.5
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.3

Boavista vs Sporting Braga Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Boavista
0W-2D-4L
AWAY Sporting Braga
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.88 xG 2.18
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
2 Shots on Target 6
3 Corners 3
355 Passes 407
80% Pass Accuracy 83%
14 Box Touches 23
20 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 3
The Meetings
26.02.2024 Boavista Boavista 0-4 HT 0-2 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
24.09.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 4-1 HT 2-1 Boavista Boavista POR
15.07.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 2-0 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista HAZ
20.05.2023 Boavista Boavista 1-1 HT 0-0 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR
14.01.2023 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga 1-0 HT 0-0 Boavista Boavista POR
05.03.2022 Boavista Boavista 1-1 HT 0-1 Sporting Braga Sporting Braga POR

Boavista 0-1 Sporting Braga — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Boavista
0-1
AWAY Sporting Braga
0.63 xG 1.07
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 13
1 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 8
198 Passes 523
72% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 27
19 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Boavista vs Sporting Braga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sporting Braga squeezed past Boavista 1-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Sporting Braga as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Boavista had 32% of the ball to Sporting Braga's 68%, shots finished 8-13, expected goals 0.63 to 1.07.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sporting Braga led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Boavista and 2.17 for Sporting Braga.

What was the final score of Boavista vs Sporting Braga?

Boavista 0-1 Sporting Braga in the Portugal - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Boavista vs Sporting Braga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sporting Braga win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Boavista 29%, draw 26%, Sporting Braga 46%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sporting Braga), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sporting Braga) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POR More Portugal - Premier League
18 Aug 2024
17:30 Moreirense vs Arouca Analysis →
20:00 Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estoril Analysis →