Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estoril Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitoria Guimaraes v Estoril — Team-Based Signals
Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estoril Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-2
HT 0-2
Estoril
POR
0-1
HT 0-1
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
1-0
HT 1-0
Estoril
POR
3-1
HT 0-1
Estoril
POR
0-0
HT 0-0
Vitoria Guimaraes
POR
Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 Estoril — Actual Match Statistics
Vitoria Guimaraes nicked a narrow win over Estoril 1-0.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Vitoria Guimaraes as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.
On the day, Vitoria Guimaraes had 60% of the ball to Estoril's 40%, shots finished 18-3, expected goals 1.79 to 0.20 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Vitoria Guimaraes's control.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Vitoria Guimaraes had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Vitoria Guimaraes and 0.67 for Estoril.
What was the final score of Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estoril?
Vitoria Guimaraes 1-0 Estoril in the Portugal - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitoria Guimaraes vs Estoril?
Before kick-off our model rated a Vitoria Guimaraes win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Vitoria Guimaraes 49%, draw 26%, Estoril 25%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Vitoria Guimaraes), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.