Moreirense vs Arouca Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Moreirense v Arouca — Team-Based Signals
Moreirense vs Arouca Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
Moreirense
POR
1-2
HT 1-0
Arouca
PORLC
1-1
HT 0-1
Moreirense
POR
2-1
HT 1-0
Arouca
POR
2-2
HT 2-0
Moreirense
POR
Moreirense 3-1 Arouca — Actual Match Statistics
Moreirense beat Arouca 3-1. Half-time: 2-1.
Our pre-match split (38% / 32% / 30%) promised a tight game; Moreirense found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Moreirense had 43% of the ball to Arouca's 57%, shots finished 15-13, expected goals 2.50 to 1.01.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Moreirense had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Moreirense and 1.00 for Arouca.
What was the final score of Moreirense vs Arouca?
Moreirense 3-1 Arouca in the Portugal - Premier League on 18/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Moreirense vs Arouca?
Before kick-off our model rated a Moreirense win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Moreirense 38%, draw 32%, Arouca 30%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Moreirense), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.