Hibernians FC 5-3 Gzira United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Malta - Premier League, 18 Aug 2025

📅18/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.84
Draw
30%
3.11
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
60%
1.62
Over 2.5
40%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
49%
1.95
No
51%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
17%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
21%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-3.9pp
30%
Draw
29%
+1.4pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.4pp
60%
Under 2.5
58%
+2.5pp
40%
Over 2.5
42%
-2.5pp
49%
BTTS Yes
47%
+2.1pp
51%
BTTS No
53%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Gzira United EU Bookmakers 43%
-1% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -3%
0.98/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.24
+15% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -1% / -30%
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
258 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 270 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernians FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gzira United
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
51% Ball Possession 49%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2025 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Gzira United Gzira United MALTP
08.02.2025 Gzira United Gzira United 1-4 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MALTP
25.08.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
07.02.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 1-0 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTAK
28.01.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 3-2 HT 2-2 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
16.09.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 0-4 HT 0-2 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernians FC
5-3
AWAY Gzira United
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 3
4 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Hibernians FC vs Gzira United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Hibernians FC saw off Gzira United 5-3. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 8 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Gzira United at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (60%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hibernians FC had 48% of the ball to Gzira United's 52%, shots finished 13-12.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernians FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Hibernians FC and 1.00 for Gzira United.

What was the final score of Hibernians FC vs Gzira United?

Hibernians FC 5-3 Gzira United in the Malta - Premier League on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernians FC vs Gzira United?

Before kick-off our model rated an Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Hibernians FC 28%, draw 30%, Gzira United 42%. The final score 5-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Gzira United) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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