Hibernians FC 1-2 Gzira United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.57
Draw
33%
2.88
Away
31%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
65%
1.54
Over 2.5
35%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.99
No
55%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
38%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
18%
X/2
10%
X/X
23%
2/1
7%
2/2
18%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
35%
+0.4pp
33%
Draw
31%
+1.9pp
31%
Away Win
34%
-2.3pp
65%
Under 2.5
61%
+4.2pp
35%
Over 2.5
39%
-4.2pp
45%
BTTS Yes
46%
-0.9pp
55%
BTTS No
54%
+0.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hibernians FC EU Bookmakers 39%
Head to Head
AWAY Gzira United EU Bookmakers 37%
-56% / -56% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +44% / +44%
0.00/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.00/1.00
-100% / +31% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +49% / -1%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
258 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 4.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Hibernians FC
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Gzira United
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
54% Ball Possession 46%
9 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 2
08.02.2025 Gzira United Gzira United 1-4 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MALTP
25.08.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 2-0 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
07.02.2024 Gzira United Gzira United 1-0 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTAK
28.01.2024 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC 3-2 HT 2-2 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
16.09.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 0-4 HT 0-2 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
28.01.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 2-0 HT 1-0 Hibernians FC Hibernians FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hibernians FC
1-2
AWAY Gzira United
40% Ball Possession 60%
7 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 10
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Hibernians FC vs Gzira United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United squeezed past Hibernians FC 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (36% / 33% / 31%) promised a tight game; Gzira United found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (65%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Hibernians FC had 40% of the ball to Gzira United's 60%, shots finished 7-13.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Hibernians FC had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Hibernians FC and 1.00 for Gzira United.

What was the final score of Hibernians FC vs Gzira United?

Hibernians FC 1-2 Gzira United in the MALTP on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hibernians FC vs Gzira United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Hibernians FC win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Hibernians FC 36%, draw 33%, Gzira United 31%. The final score 1-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Hibernians FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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