Zabbar St. Patrick 2-2 Balzan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.47
Draw
31%
3.04
Away
28%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.74
Over 2.5
42%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.76
No
55%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
21%
X/2
12%
X/X
23%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
37%
+3.9pp
31%
Draw
30%
+1.6pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-5.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
54%
+4.7pp
42%
Over 2.5
46%
-4.7pp
45%
BTTS Yes
53%
-7.8pp
55%
BTTS No
47%
+7.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 37%
+5% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / -6%
1.96/1.04 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.51/1.49
+98% / +28% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +9% / -42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
283 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 1.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
3W-0D-0L
AWAY Balzan FC
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
8 Total Shots 3
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
25.01.2025 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick 3-0 HT 0-0 Balzan FC Balzan FC MALTP
01.12.2024 Balzan FC Balzan FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
16.09.2024 Balzan FC Balzan FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
2-2
AWAY Balzan FC
42% Ball Possession 58%
6 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Zabbar St. Patrick vs Balzan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zabbar St. Patrick and Balzan FC shared the points in a 2-2 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Zabbar St. Patrick at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (55%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Zabbar St. Patrick had 42% of the ball to Balzan FC's 58%, shots finished 6-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Zabbar St. Patrick had the better of it with 3 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Zabbar St. Patrick and 0.33 for Balzan FC.

What was the final score of Zabbar St. Patrick vs Balzan FC?

Zabbar St. Patrick 2-2 Balzan FC in the MALTP on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Balzan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a Zabbar St. Patrick win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Zabbar St. Patrick 41%, draw 31%, Balzan FC 28%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Zabbar St. Patrick) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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