Zabbar St. Patrick 3-0 Balzan FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒21:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
42%
2.32
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
1.81
No
60%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
3%
1/X
3%
X/1
17%
X/2
12%
X/X
21%
2/1
5%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
32%
-4.0pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.8pp
42%
Away Win
40%
+2.2pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
-0.1pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
+0.1pp
40%
BTTS Yes
51%
-11.1pp
60%
BTTS No
49%
+11.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Balzan FC EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
318 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 309 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
2W-0D-0L
AWAY Balzan FC
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 3
4 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 2
01.12.2024 Balzan FC Balzan FC 1-2 HT 1-0 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
16.09.2024 Balzan FC Balzan FC 0-2 HT 0-1 Zabbar St. Patrick Zabbar St. Patrick MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Zabbar St. Patrick
3-0
AWAY Balzan FC
54% Ball Possession 46%
8 Total Shots 4
5 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 3
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Zabbar St. Patrick vs Balzan FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Zabbar St. Patrick cruised past Balzan FC 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Balzan FC at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (60%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Zabbar St. Patrick had 54% of the ball to Balzan FC's 46%, shots finished 8-4.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Zabbar St. Patrick had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Zabbar St. Patrick and 0.50 for Balzan FC.

What was the final score of Zabbar St. Patrick vs Balzan FC?

Zabbar St. Patrick 3-0 Balzan FC in the MALTP on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Zabbar St. Patrick vs Balzan FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Balzan FC win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Zabbar St. Patrick 28%, draw 30%, Balzan FC 42%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS No — while Match Result (Balzan FC), Under 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Balzan FC) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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