Mosta 0-1 Sliema Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
4.65
Draw
28%
3.72
Away
48%
1.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.9
Over 2.5
42%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.88
No
53%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
20%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
19%
+5.0pp
29%
Draw
24%
+4.6pp
48%
Away Win
57%
-9.6pp
58%
Under 2.5
49%
+9.3pp
42%
Over 2.5
51%
-9.3pp
47%
BTTS Yes
49%
-2.5pp
53%
BTTS No
51%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mosta EU Bookmakers 22%
Head to Head
AWAY Sliema Wanderers EU Bookmakers 61%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 14
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 7
249 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 379 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mosta
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Sliema Wanderers
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
47% Ball Possession 53%
5 Total Shots 9
1 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
21.12.2024 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 3-1 HT 1-1 Mosta Mosta MLTP
16.08.2024 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 2-0 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
30.03.2024 Mosta Mosta 2-2 HT 1-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTAK
10.02.2024 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Mosta Mosta MLTP
27.09.2023 Mosta Mosta 0-3 HT 0-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
20.02.2022 Mosta Mosta 1-0 HT 1-0 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mosta
0-1
AWAY Sliema Wanderers
47% Ball Possession 53%
4 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sliema Wanderers nicked a narrow win over Mosta 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Sliema Wanderers as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Mosta had 47% of the ball to Sliema Wanderers's 53%, shots finished 4-6.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sliema Wanderers led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Mosta and 1.67 for Sliema Wanderers.

What was the final score of Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers?

Mosta 0-1 Sliema Wanderers in the MALTP on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mosta vs Sliema Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated an Sliema Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Mosta 24%, draw 29%, Sliema Wanderers 48%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Sliema Wanderers), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Sliema Wanderers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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