Gzira United 1-0 Naxxar Lions — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 25 Jan 2025

📅25/01/2025 · 🕒18:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
52%
1.49
Draw
26%
3.8
Away
22%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.78
Over 2.5
45%
1.95
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.09
No
57%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
37%
2-3 Goals
33%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
4%
1/X
11%
X/1
24%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
3%
2/2
4%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
63%
-10.7pp
26%
Draw
23%
+3.3pp
22%
Away Win
15%
+7.2pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+2.7pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
44%
-0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
56%
+0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Gzira United EU Bookmakers 67%
Head to Head
AWAY Naxxar Lions EU Bookmakers 18%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
54% Ball Possession 46%
15 Total Shots 9
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
318 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 317 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Gzira United
1W-2D-0L
AWAY Naxxar Lions
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
59% Ball Possession 41%
15 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
10 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 3
20.10.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 1-1 HT 1-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
10.02.2024 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions 0-1 HT 0-0 Gzira United Gzira United MLTP
26.09.2023 Gzira United Gzira United 1-1 HT 0-0 Naxxar Lions Naxxar Lions MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Gzira United
1-0
AWAY Naxxar Lions
56% Ball Possession 44%
2 Total Shots 0
1 Shots on Target 0
4 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Gzira United vs Naxxar Lions
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Gzira United edged past Naxxar Lions 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Gzira United as the likeliest winner at 52%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (55%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.

On the day, Gzira United had 56% of the ball to Naxxar Lions's 44%, shots finished 2-0.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Gzira United had the better of it with 1 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Gzira United and 0.67 for Naxxar Lions.

What was the final score of Gzira United vs Naxxar Lions?

Gzira United 1-0 Naxxar Lions in the MALTP on 25/01/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Gzira United vs Naxxar Lions?

Before kick-off our model rated a Gzira United win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Gzira United 52%, draw 26%, Naxxar Lions 22%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Gzira United), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Gzira United) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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