Marsaxlokk FC 2-1 Sliema Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — MALTP, 19 Apr 2025

📅19/04/2025 · 🕒14:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
3.32
Draw
37%
2.94
Away
33%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
1.56
Over 2.5
38%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.99
No
53%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
17%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
4%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
21%
2/1
4%
2/2
21%
2/X
11%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
26%
+4.0pp
37%
Draw
30%
+6.7pp
33%
Away Win
43%
-10.8pp
62%
Under 2.5
60%
+1.9pp
38%
Over 2.5
40%
-1.9pp
47%
BTTS Yes
46%
+0.9pp
53%
BTTS No
54%
-1.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marsaxlokk FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Sliema Wanderers EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
219 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
2W-0D-2L
AWAY Sliema Wanderers
0.75 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
51% Ball Possession 49%
7 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
3 Yellow Cards 2
01.03.2025 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MALTP
15.09.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 0-1 HT 0-1 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
17.02.2024 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC 1-2 HT 1-1 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers MLTP
01.10.2023 Sliema Wanderers Sliema Wanderers 0-1 HT 0-0 Marsaxlokk FC Marsaxlokk FC MLTP
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Marsaxlokk FC
2-1
AWAY Sliema Wanderers
56% Ball Possession 44%
7 Total Shots 5
2 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Marsaxlokk FC vs Sliema Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Marsaxlokk FC nicked a narrow win over Sliema Wanderers 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 30% / 37% / 33% — and on the day Marsaxlokk FC made the difference. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (62%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Marsaxlokk FC had 56% of the ball to Sliema Wanderers's 44%, shots finished 7-5.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece. Those games averaged 0.75 goals for Marsaxlokk FC and 0.75 for Sliema Wanderers.

What was the final score of Marsaxlokk FC vs Sliema Wanderers?

Marsaxlokk FC 2-1 Sliema Wanderers in the MALTP on 19/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marsaxlokk FC vs Sliema Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Marsaxlokk FC 30%, draw 37%, Sliema Wanderers 33%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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