Kongsvinger vs Mjondalen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Kongsvinger v Mjondalen — Team-Based Signals
Kongsvinger vs Mjondalen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-3
HT 1-1
Kongsvinger
NOR1
2-0
HT 1-0
Mjondalen
NOR1
2-1
HT 1-0
Mjondalen
NOR1
Kongsvinger 4-3 Mjondalen — Actual Match Statistics
Kongsvinger nicked a narrow win over Mjondalen 4-3. Half-time: 2-1. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Kongsvinger as the likeliest winner at 64%, and the 4-3 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Kongsvinger had 58% of the ball to Mjondalen's 42%, shots finished 17-13.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kongsvinger had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Kongsvinger and 1.17 for Mjondalen.
What was the final score of Kongsvinger vs Mjondalen?
Kongsvinger 4-3 Mjondalen in the Norway - 1st Division on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Kongsvinger vs Mjondalen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 64%, with the full match-result split Kongsvinger 64%, draw 21%, Mjondalen 15%. The final score 4-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Kongsvinger), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.