Stabaek 1-2 Sogndal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 18 Aug 2025

📅18/08/2025 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.27
Draw
24%
3.72
Away
37%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.51
Over 2.5
57%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.46
No
37%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
4.95
2-3 Goals
43%
1.91
4-5 Goals
26%
2.55
6+ Goals
12%
6.18
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
22%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
11%
X/2
13%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
17%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
-0.6pp
24%
Draw
23%
+0.4pp
37%
Away Win
37%
+0.1pp
43%
Under 2.5
36%
+6.6pp
57%
Over 2.5
64%
-6.6pp
63%
BTTS Yes
64%
-1.1pp
37%
BTTS No
36%
+1.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stabaek EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Sogndal EU Bookmakers 40%
-3% / -3% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
1.84/1.87 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.26/1.75
+17% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -21% / -17%
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 6
395 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 255 · 66%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stabaek
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Sogndal
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
66% Ball Possession 34%
15 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 2
8 Corners 2
617 Passes 83
87% Pass Accuracy 50%
21 Box Touches 11
26 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
26.07.2025 Sogndal Sogndal 1-1 HT 1-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
28.09.2024 Stabaek Stabaek 2-0 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
01.06.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 2-3 HT 1-2 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
25.07.2022 Sogndal Sogndal 4-3 HT 2-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
11.04.2022 Stabaek Stabaek 0-0 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
19.11.2017 Stabaek Stabaek 1-1 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stabaek
1-2
AWAY Sogndal
61% Ball Possession 39%
16 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 3
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Stabaek vs Sogndal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sogndal nicked a narrow win over Stabaek 2-1 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 24% / 37%) promised a tight game; Sogndal found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (57%), both teams to score (63%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Stabaek had 61% of the ball to Sogndal's 39%, shots finished 16-11.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Stabaek had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Stabaek and 1.33 for Sogndal.

What was the final score of Stabaek vs Sogndal?

Stabaek 1-2 Sogndal in the Norway - 1st Division on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stabaek vs Sogndal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stabaek 40%, draw 24%, Sogndal 37%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stabaek) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stabaek) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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