Sogndal 1-1 Stabaek — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.64
Away
39%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.51
Over 2.5
52%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.43
No
46%
2.6
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
5.32
2-3 Goals
41%
1.99
4-5 Goals
25%
2.56
6+ Goals
12%
5.93
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
5%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
15%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
42%
-6.0pp
25%
Draw
24%
+0.8pp
39%
Away Win
34%
+5.2pp
48%
Under 2.5
36%
+12.3pp
52%
Over 2.5
64%
-12.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
66%
-11.4pp
46%
BTTS No
34%
+11.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Sogndal EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Stabaek EU Bookmakers 37%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -4%
1.19/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.50/1.77
-25% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / -17%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
358 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.2 Yellow Cards 1.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Sogndal
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Stabaek
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
34% Ball Possession 66%
7 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 5
2 Corners 8
120 Passes 499
56% Pass Accuracy 84%
16 Box Touches 21
10 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.09.2024 Stabaek Stabaek 2-0 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
01.06.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 2-3 HT 1-2 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
25.07.2022 Sogndal Sogndal 4-3 HT 2-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
11.04.2022 Stabaek Stabaek 0-0 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
19.11.2017 Stabaek Stabaek 1-1 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR
05.04.2017 Sogndal Sogndal 4-1 HT 1-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
POST-MATCH Sogndal vs Stabaek
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sogndal and Stabaek shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 25% / 39% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Sogndal and 1.67 for Stabaek.

What was the final score of Sogndal vs Stabaek?

Sogndal 1-1 Stabaek in the Norway - 1st Division on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Sogndal vs Stabaek?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Sogndal 36%, draw 25%, Stabaek 39%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Stabaek), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stabaek) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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