Start vs Lilleström Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Start v Lilleström — Team-Based Signals
Start vs Lilleström Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-3
HT 2-0
Start
NOR
2-1
HT 0-1
Lilleström
NOR
3-0
HT 2-0
Lilleström
NOR
1-0
HT 1-0
Start
NOR
1-1
HT 0-1
Start
NOR
1-1
HT 1-1
Lilleström
NOR
Start 0-3 Lilleström — Actual Match Statistics
Lilleström swept aside Start 3-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Lilleström as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Start had 44% of the ball to Lilleström's 56%, shots finished 15-16.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Start and 1.33 for Lilleström.
What was the final score of Start vs Lilleström?
Start 0-3 Lilleström in the Norway - 1st Division on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Start vs Lilleström?
Before kick-off our model rated an Lilleström win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Start 31%, draw 25%, Lilleström 45%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Lilleström), Over 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.