Mjondalen 1-1 Kongsvinger — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
23%
4.34
Away
57%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
43%
2.59
Over 2.5
57%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.56
No
42%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
17%
5.53
2-3 Goals
42%
2.02
4-5 Goals
29%
2.53
6+ Goals
12%
5.66
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
8%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+2.6pp
23%
Draw
20%
+3.1pp
57%
Away Win
62%
-5.7pp
43%
Under 2.5
35%
+7.9pp
57%
Over 2.5
65%
-7.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
60%
-2.5pp
42%
BTTS No
40%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mjondalen EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 67%
-5% / -11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +18% / +18%
1.57/1.86 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.88/0.73
+25% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +30% / +48%
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
322 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 362 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mjondalen
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Kongsvinger
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
55% Ball Possession 45%
11 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
25.09.2024 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-2 HT 0-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
22.05.2024 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 3-2 HT 1-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
05.11.2023 Mjondalen Mjondalen 2-3 HT 1-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
16.04.2023 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 2-0 HT 1-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
31.07.2022 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 2-1 HT 1-0 Mjondalen Mjondalen NOR1
04.04.2022 Mjondalen Mjondalen 1-0 HT 1-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Mjondalen
1-1
AWAY Kongsvinger
38% Ball Possession 62%
11 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 2
3 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Mjondalen vs Kongsvinger
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mjondalen and Kongsvinger shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

This one beat our numbers. Kongsvinger carried 57% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (58%) landed while over 2.5 goals (57%) missed.

On the day, Mjondalen had 38% of the ball to Kongsvinger's 62%, shots finished 11-9.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kongsvinger led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Mjondalen and 2.00 for Kongsvinger.

What was the final score of Mjondalen vs Kongsvinger?

Mjondalen 1-1 Kongsvinger in the Norway - 1st Division on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mjondalen vs Kongsvinger?

Before kick-off our model rated an Kongsvinger win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Mjondalen 20%, draw 23%, Kongsvinger 57%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Kongsvinger), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Kongsvinger) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
NOR1 More Norway - 1st Division
26 Jul 2025
15:00 Ranheim vs Odds BK Analysis →
15:00 Asane vs Hodd Analysis →
15:00 Raufoss vs Skeid Analysis →
15:00 Start vs Lilleström Analysis →
15:00 Egersunds vs Lyn Oslo Analysis →
15:00 Aalesund vs Moss Analysis →