Raufoss 1-1 Skeid — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
47%
2.02
Draw
24%
3.45
Away
29%
3.02
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
2.07
Over 2.5
52%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
23%
3.79
2-3 Goals
44%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.02
6+ Goals
12%
9.68
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.79 — our 23% vs market 20.3%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
8%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
9%
X/X
9%
2/1
10%
2/2
12%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
47%
Home Win
45%
+1.9pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.4pp
29%
Away Win
29%
-0.5pp
48%
Under 2.5
44%
+3.7pp
52%
Over 2.5
56%
-3.7pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-6.9pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+6.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Raufoss EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Skeid EU Bookmakers 33%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -3% / -4%
1.54/1.33 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.26/2.52
-7% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +58% / -37%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
356 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 325 · 82%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.7 Yellow Cards 0.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Raufoss
5W-1D-0L
AWAY Skeid
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
15 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 4
1 Yellow Cards 2
23.04.2024 Skeid Skeid 1-2 Raufoss Raufoss NOK
19.01.2024 Raufoss Raufoss 2-1 Skeid Skeid HAZ
13.08.2023 Skeid Skeid 1-2 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
25.06.2023 Raufoss Raufoss 1-0 HT 1-0 Skeid Skeid NOR1
24.07.2022 Skeid Skeid 2-2 HT 1-0 Raufoss Raufoss NOR1
26.06.2022 Raufoss Raufoss 1-0 HT 0-0 Skeid Skeid NOR1
POST-MATCH Raufoss vs Skeid
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Raufoss and Skeid couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Raufoss at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Raufoss had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Raufoss and 0.83 for Skeid.

What was the final score of Raufoss vs Skeid?

Raufoss 1-1 Skeid in the Norway - 1st Division on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Raufoss vs Skeid?

Before kick-off our model rated a Raufoss win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Raufoss 47%, draw 24%, Skeid 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Raufoss), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Raufoss) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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