Aalesund 2-0 Moss — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 26 Jul 2025

📅26/07/2025 · 🕒15:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
53%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
23%
5.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
32%
1/2
5%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
8%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
10%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
53%
Home Win
62%
-9.1pp
24%
Draw
22%
+2.6pp
23%
Away Win
17%
+6.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+10.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-10.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Aalesund EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Moss EU Bookmakers 20%
+3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -5%
2.16/1.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/2.58
+5% / +7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -37% / -23%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
351 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 299 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Aalesund
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Moss
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
10.08.2024 Aalesund Aalesund 1-0 HT 1-0 Moss Moss NOR1
01.06.2024 Moss Moss 1-0 HT 0-0 Aalesund Aalesund NOR1
04.07.2004 Aalesund Aalesund 1-0 HT 0-0 Moss Moss NOR1
POST-MATCH Aalesund vs Moss
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aalesund saw off Moss 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Aalesund as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Aalesund had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Aalesund and 0.33 for Moss.

What was the final score of Aalesund vs Moss?

Aalesund 2-0 Moss in the Norway - 1st Division on 26/07/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Moss?

Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 53%, draw 24%, Moss 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aalesund), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Aalesund) ✓ Under 2.5
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