Stabaek 2-0 Sogndal — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.8
Draw
25%
3.72
Away
25%
3.48
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.51
Over 2.5
53%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.46
No
46%
2.51
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
5.43
2-3 Goals
39%
2.0
4-5 Goals
25%
2.67
6+ Goals
11%
6.52
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
6%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
10%
X/X
10%
2/1
6%
2/2
9%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
51%
-1.4pp
25%
Draw
23%
+1.9pp
25%
Away Win
25%
-0.4pp
47%
Under 2.5
36%
+10.7pp
53%
Over 2.5
64%
-10.7pp
54%
BTTS Yes
64%
-10.7pp
46%
BTTS No
36%
+10.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stabaek EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Sogndal EU Bookmakers 29%
-11% / -12% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -11%
2.35/2.30 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.15/1.59
+34% / -47% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +5%
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
302 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 220 · 67%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
0.7 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stabaek
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Sogndal
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
67% Ball Possession 33%
14 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 3
460 Passes 163
83% Pass Accuracy 62%
21 Box Touches 16
24 Crosses 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
01.06.2024 Sogndal Sogndal 2-3 HT 1-2 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
25.07.2022 Sogndal Sogndal 4-3 HT 2-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR1
11.04.2022 Stabaek Stabaek 0-0 HT 0-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR1
19.11.2017 Stabaek Stabaek 1-1 HT 1-0 Sogndal Sogndal NOR
05.04.2017 Sogndal Sogndal 4-1 HT 1-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
28.08.2016 Sogndal Sogndal 1-1 HT 0-0 Stabaek Stabaek NOR
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stabaek
2-0
AWAY Sogndal
55% Ball Possession 45%
18 Total Shots 5
7 Shots on Target 1
11 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Stabaek vs Sogndal
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stabaek saw off Sogndal 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stabaek as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Stabaek had 55% of the ball to Sogndal's 45%, shots finished 18-5.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Sogndal led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Stabaek and 2.00 for Sogndal.

What was the final score of Stabaek vs Sogndal?

Stabaek 2-0 Sogndal in the Norway - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stabaek vs Sogndal?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stabaek win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Stabaek 50%, draw 25%, Sogndal 25%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stabaek) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Stabaek) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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