Aalesund vs Mjondalen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Aalesund v Mjondalen — Team-Based Signals
Aalesund vs Mjondalen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
3-0
HT 3-0
Aalesund
NOR
1-3
HT 0-2
Mjondalen
NOR
2-0
HT 0-0
Aalesund
NOR1
2-1
HT 0-0
Mjondalen
NOR1
1-2
HT 0-1
Aalesund
NOR
Mjondalen edged past Aalesund 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Aalesund at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Mjondalen led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Aalesund and 1.83 for Mjondalen.
What was the final score of Aalesund vs Mjondalen?
Aalesund 0-1 Mjondalen in the Norway - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Aalesund vs Mjondalen?
Before kick-off our model rated a Aalesund win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Aalesund 47%, draw 23%, Mjondalen 30%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.