Kongsvinger 2-2 Valerenga — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Norway - 1st Division, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
47%
1.74
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
46%
2.33
Over 2.5
54%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.56
No
46%
2.27
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
24%
4.84
2-3 Goals
38%
1.93
4-5 Goals
26%
2.8
6+ Goals
12%
7.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
11%
X/2
18%
X/X
11%
2/1
6%
2/2
22%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
23%
+3.4pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.5pp
47%
Away Win
53%
-6.0pp
46%
Under 2.5
39%
+6.8pp
54%
Over 2.5
61%
-6.8pp
54%
BTTS Yes
60%
-5.6pp
46%
BTTS No
40%
+5.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kongsvinger EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Valerenga EU Bookmakers 57%
+3% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -2%
1.51/1.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.36
+12% / +18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +31% / -18%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
274 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 359 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 0.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kongsvinger
1W-0D-3L
AWAY Valerenga
1.25 Avg Goals (FT) 2.75
46% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 1
16.05.2024 Valerenga Valerenga 0-2 HT 0-1 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR1
06.02.2018 Valerenga Valerenga 4-0 HT 2-0 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger HAZ
17.07.2010 Valerenga Valerenga 5-2 HT 2-2 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger NOR
08.05.2010 Kongsvinger Kongsvinger 1-2 HT 1-1 Valerenga Valerenga NOR
POST-MATCH Kongsvinger vs Valerenga
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kongsvinger and Valerenga couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Valerenga at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Valerenga led the recent series with 3 wins. Those games averaged 1.25 goals for Kongsvinger and 2.75 for Valerenga.

What was the final score of Kongsvinger vs Valerenga?

Kongsvinger 2-2 Valerenga in the Norway - 1st Division on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kongsvinger vs Valerenga?

Before kick-off our model rated an Valerenga win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kongsvinger 27%, draw 26%, Valerenga 47%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Valerenga) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Valerenga) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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