Cusco FC 1-0 Alianza Atletico — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Peru - Premier League, 18 Aug 2025

📅18/08/2025 · 🕒02:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
63%
1.42
Draw
22%
4.19
Away
15%
6.38
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.0
Over 2.5
51%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.99
No
48%
1.73
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
2-3 Goals
43%
4-5 Goals
20%
6+ Goals
11%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
27%
X/2
6%
X/X
12%
2/1
10%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
63%
Home Win
66%
-2.9pp
22%
Draw
21%
+0.9pp
15%
Away Win
13%
+2.1pp
49%
Under 2.5
46%
+2.7pp
51%
Over 2.5
54%
-2.7pp
52%
BTTS Yes
46%
+5.4pp
48%
BTTS No
54%
-5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cusco FC EU Bookmakers 70%
Head to Head
AWAY Alianza Atletico EU Bookmakers 16%
+8% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +16%
1.87/0.67 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.55
+24% / +21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +0% / +5%
57% Ball Possession 43%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 3
320 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 237 · 73%
21.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 10.7
20.7 Crosses 11.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 3.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cusco FC
4W-1D-1L
AWAY Alianza Atletico
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.86 xG 0.83
49% Ball Possession 51%
14 Total Shots 13
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
267 Passes 277
76% Pass Accuracy 78%
17 Box Touches 14
12 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
28.03.2025 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-4 HT 2-3 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
15.08.2024 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 1-1 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
07.03.2024 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
22.07.2023 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico 2-0 HT 1-0 Cusco FC Cusco FC PER
20.02.2023 Cusco FC Cusco FC 2-1 HT 0-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
08.08.2021 Cusco FC Cusco FC 3-0 HT 2-0 Alianza Atletico Alianza Atletico PER
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cusco FC
1-0
AWAY Alianza Atletico
0.71 xG 0.54
65% Ball Possession 35%
11 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 3
532 Passes 251
90% Pass Accuracy 82%
16 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Cusco FC vs Alianza Atletico
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Cusco FC nicked a narrow win over Alianza Atletico 1-0.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Cusco FC as the likeliest winner at 63%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Cusco FC had 65% of the ball to Alianza Atletico's 35%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 0.71 to 0.54.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Cusco FC had the better of it with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Cusco FC and 1.00 for Alianza Atletico.

What was the final score of Cusco FC vs Alianza Atletico?

Cusco FC 1-0 Alianza Atletico in the Peru - Premier League on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cusco FC vs Alianza Atletico?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cusco FC win the most likely single outcome at about 63%, with the full match-result split Cusco FC 63%, draw 22%, Alianza Atletico 15%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Cusco FC) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Cusco FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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