Kasımpaşa 0-1 Trabzonspor — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Turkey - Super League, 18 Aug 2025

📅18/08/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.8
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
36%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
1.97
Over 2.5
55%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.61
No
42%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.58
2-3 Goals
42%
1.78
4-5 Goals
26%
3.12
6+ Goals
10%
10.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
4.38
1/2 EV+ ✗
10%
24.5
1/X
8%
12.5
X/1
11%
6.54
X/2
12%
5.27
X/X
10%
4.78
2/1
7%
29.0
2/2
14%
3.12
2/X
7%
12.15
Value flag · 1/2 at 24.5 — our 10% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
32%
+7.4pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
36%
Away Win
41%
-5.2pp
45%
Under 2.5
47%
-1.9pp
55%
Over 2.5
53%
+1.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
58%
+0.1pp
42%
BTTS No
42%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kasımpaşa EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Trabzonspor EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +2%
1.59/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.35/1.27
+29% / -29% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -3% / +18%
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
312 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 381 · 82%
22.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.5
19.4 Crosses 15.2
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kasımpaşa
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Trabzonspor
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.83 xG 1.54
43% Ball Possession 57%
14 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
271 Passes 397
75% Pass Accuracy 82%
20 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 19
4 Yellow Cards 2
05.05.2025 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-1 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
06.12.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-2 HT 0-1 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
29.01.2024 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 2-3 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa TSL
01.09.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 1-5 HT 0-3 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
08.04.2023 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa 2-0 HT 1-0 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor TSL
10.12.2022 Trabzonspor Trabzonspor 1-1 HT 1-0 Kasımpaşa Kasımpaşa HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kasımpaşa
0-1
AWAY Trabzonspor
0.20 xG 1.16
44% Ball Possession 56%
8 Total Shots 11
0 Shots on Target 1
6 Corners 4
244 Passes 348
79% Pass Accuracy 85%
15 Box Touches 19
15 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trabzonspor nicked a narrow win over Kasımpaşa 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 25% / 36% — and on the day Trabzonspor made the difference. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kasımpaşa had 44% of the ball to Trabzonspor's 56%, shots finished 8-11, expected goals 0.20 to 1.16.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Kasımpaşa had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Kasımpaşa and 1.83 for Trabzonspor.

What was the final score of Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor?

Kasımpaşa 0-1 Trabzonspor in the Turkey - Super League on 18/08/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kasımpaşa vs Trabzonspor?

Before kick-off our model rated a Kasımpaşa win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Kasımpaşa 40%, draw 25%, Trabzonspor 36%. The final score 0-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Kasımpaşa) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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