Östers 4-1 Trelleborgs FF — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 18 Sep 2024

Östers
4-1 HT 2-1
Trelleborgs FF
📅18/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Östers vs Trelleborgs FF Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
1.57
Draw
31%
4.08
Away
32%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
2.33
Over 2.5
47%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.61
No
45%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
4.87
2-3 Goals
42%
1.94
4-5 Goals
21%
2.8
6+ Goals
11%
7.52
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.87 — our 26% vs market 15.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1.96
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
8%
15.25
X/1
9%
4.0
X/2
8%
10.85
X/X
15%
6.37
2/1
12%
20.25
2/2
16%
7.61
2/X
8%
15.75
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
60%
-22.4pp
31%
Draw
21%
+10.1pp
32%
Away Win
19%
+12.3pp
53%
Under 2.5
39%
+13.6pp
47%
Over 2.5
61%
-13.6pp
55%
BTTS Yes
58%
-2.8pp
45%
BTTS No
42%
+2.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Östers v Trelleborgs FF — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östers EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Trelleborgs FF EU Bookmakers 22%
-5% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +25%
1.76/0.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.46
-4% / +15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +18% / +11%
56% Ball Possession 44%
13 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
432 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 264 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.8

Östers vs Trelleborgs FF Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östers
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
2.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
10 Total Shots 8
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.06.2024 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-4 HT 0-2 Östers Östers İSÇ2
20.08.2023 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-3 HT 0-2 Östers Östers İSÇ2
10.04.2023 Östers Östers 5-2 HT 3-1 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
05.11.2022 Östers Östers 0-1 HT 0-0 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF İSÇ2
22.05.2022 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-2 HT 1-2 Östers Östers İSÇ2
31.08.2021 Trelleborgs FF Trelleborgs FF 1-0 HT 0-0 Östers Östers İSÇ2

Östers 4-1 Trelleborgs FF — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Östers
4-1
AWAY Trelleborgs FF
58% Ball Possession 42%
17 Total Shots 16
7 Shots on Target 9
9 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Östers vs Trelleborgs FF
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Östers cruised past Trelleborgs FF 4-1. Half-time: 2-1. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (37% / 31% / 32%) promised a tight game; Östers found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged both teams to score (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Östers had 58% of the ball to Trelleborgs FF's 42%, shots finished 17-16.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Östers had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 2.33 goals for Östers and 1.17 for Trelleborgs FF.

What was the final score of Östers vs Trelleborgs FF?

Östers 4-1 Trelleborgs FF in the Sweden - Superettan on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östers vs Trelleborgs FF?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östers win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Östers 37%, draw 31%, Trelleborgs FF 32%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Östers), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Östers) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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