Östersunds FK 1-2 GIF Sundsvall — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 18 Sep 2024

Östersunds FK
1-2 HT 1-0
GIF Sundsvall
📅18/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Sweden - Superettan – 2024

Östersunds FK vs GIF Sundsvall Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
51%
1.75
Draw
24%
3.54
Away
25%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.91
Over 2.5
51%
1.8
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.76
No
50%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.42
2-3 Goals
42%
1.79
4-5 Goals
22%
3.47
6+ Goals
10%
13.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.42 — our 26% vs market 23.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
2.31
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
9%
14.2
X/1
19%
4.1
X/2
9%
8.88
X/X
10%
4.95
2/1
7%
23.6
2/2
9%
6.79
2/X
5%
14.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
52%
Home Win
53%
-1.8pp
24%
Draw
25%
-1.2pp
25%
Away Win
22%
+2.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
51%
Over 2.5
52%
-0.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Östersunds FK v GIF Sundsvall — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Östersunds FK EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY GIF Sundsvall EU Bookmakers 25%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / -14%
1.77/1.19 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.76
+4% / -17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -9%
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
365 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 258 · 70%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.6

Östersunds FK vs GIF Sundsvall Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Östersunds FK
1W-3D-2L
AWAY GIF Sundsvall
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
0.95 xG 1.34
47% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 4
470 Passes 546
87% Pass Accuracy 89%
13 Box Touches 15
11 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.03.2024 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-0 HT 0-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
29.07.2023 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-1 HT 0-1 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ2
18.04.2023 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 0-3 HT 0-1 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ2
10.08.2019 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall 1-1 HT 1-0 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK İSÇ
01.06.2019 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-1 HT 0-1 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ
26.08.2018 Östersunds FK Östersunds FK 1-2 HT 1-0 GIF Sundsvall GIF Sundsvall İSÇ
POST-MATCH Östersunds FK vs GIF Sundsvall
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

GIF Sundsvall nicked a narrow win over Östersunds FK 2-1 away from home. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match lean was Östersunds FK at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, GIF Sundsvall led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Östersunds FK and 1.00 for GIF Sundsvall.

What was the final score of Östersunds FK vs GIF Sundsvall?

Östersunds FK 1-2 GIF Sundsvall in the Sweden - Superettan on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Östersunds FK vs GIF Sundsvall?

Before kick-off our model rated a Östersunds FK win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split Östersunds FK 52%, draw 24%, GIF Sundsvall 25%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Östersunds FK) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Östersunds FK) ✓ Over 2.5
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