Skövde AIK 2-2 Varbergs — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Sweden - Superettan, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
2.84
Draw
33%
3.45
Away
40%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.61
No
49%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
3.88
2-3 Goals
38%
1.84
4-5 Goals
26%
3.17
6+ Goals
9%
10.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.88 — our 27% vs market 20.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
4.39
1/2
8%
24.45
1/X
6%
13.05
X/1
8%
6.53
X/2
8%
5.0
X/X
17%
5.01
2/1
4%
30.5
2/2
24%
3.02
2/X
10%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
32%
-4.5pp
33%
Draw
26%
+7.0pp
40%
Away Win
43%
-2.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.4pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Skövde AIK EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Varbergs EU Bookmakers 46%
+14% / +19% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-12% / +74% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
296 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Skövde AIK
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Varbergs
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
02.06.2024 Varbergs Varbergs 2-2 HT 0-2 Skövde AIK Skövde AIK İSÇ2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Skövde AIK
2-2
AWAY Varbergs
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 7
2 Corners 2
4 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Skövde AIK vs Varbergs
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Skövde AIK and Varbergs shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 27% / 33% / 40% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Skövde AIK had 50% of the ball to Varbergs's 50%, shots finished 12-13.

What was the final score of Skövde AIK vs Varbergs?

Skövde AIK 2-2 Varbergs in the Sweden - Superettan on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Skövde AIK vs Varbergs?

Before kick-off our model rated an Varbergs win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Skövde AIK 27%, draw 33%, Varbergs 40%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Varbergs) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Varbergs) ✓ BTTS Yes
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