Hammarby (K) 1-2 SL Benfica (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.99
Draw
26%
3.28
Away
44%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.75
Over
50%
1.97
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
58%
1.81
No
42%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
21%
2-3
41%
4-5
24%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
11%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
11%
X/X
17%
2/1
7%
2/2
22%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 58%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
30%
+0.0pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.1pp
44%
Away Win
43%
+1.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
53%
-2.9pp
50%
Over 2.5
47%
+2.9pp
58%
BTTS Yes
51%
+7.0pp
42%
BTTS No
49%
-7.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Hammarby (K) EU Bookmakers 33%
Head to Head
AWAY SL Benfica (K) EU Bookmakers 48%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +42% / +42%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +78% / -19%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 14
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 7
303 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 337 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 48.0
Crosses 19.0
Yellow Cards 0.0
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Hammarby (K)
1-2
AWAY SL Benfica (K)
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 1
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Hammarby (K) vs SL Benfica (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

SL Benfica (K) squeezed past Hammarby (K) 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had SL Benfica (K) as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged both teams to score (58%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Hammarby (K) had 50% of the ball to SL Benfica (K)'s 50%, shots finished 16-7.

What was the final score of Hammarby (K) vs SL Benfica (K)?

Hammarby (K) 1-2 SL Benfica (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Hammarby (K) vs SL Benfica (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an SL Benfica (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Hammarby (K) 30%, draw 26%, SL Benfica (K) 44%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (SL Benfica (K)), BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (SL Benfica (K)) ✓ BTTS Yes
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