Osijek (K) 1-4 Twente (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-3 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
12.23
Draw
22%
8.78
Away
53%
1.06
Under/Over 2.5
Under
45%
Over Pick
55%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.27
No
55%
1.56
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
38%
4-5
22%
6+
14%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
38%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 55%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
5%
+20.8pp
22%
Draw
8%
+14.6pp
53%
Away Win
88%
-35.4pp
45%
BTTS Yes
40%
+4.7pp
55%
BTTS No
60%
-4.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Osijek (K) EU Bookmakers 8%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente (K) EU Bookmakers 94%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
38% Ball Possession 62%
8 Total Shots 17
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 7
199 · 71% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 552 · 88%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Osijek (K)
1-4
AWAY Twente (K)
34% Ball Possession 66%
6 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 11
4 Corners 5
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Osijek (K) vs Twente (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente (K) ran out comfortable winners over Osijek (K) 4-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Twente (K) as the likeliest winner at 53%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. On goals, over 2.5 goals (55%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Osijek (K) had 34% of the ball to Twente (K)'s 66%, shots finished 6-21.

What was the final score of Osijek (K) vs Twente (K)?

Osijek (K) 1-4 Twente (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Osijek (K) vs Twente (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 53%, with the full match-result split Osijek (K) 25%, draw 22%, Twente (K) 53%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente (K)), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Twente (K)) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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