Paris (K) 0-5 Manchester City (K) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League - Women's, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.13
Draw
26%
3.72
Away
46%
1.68
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
1.97
Over
50%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
54%
1.81
No
46%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1
26%
2-3
48%
4-5
18%
6+
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
13%
1/X
11%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
9%
2/1
5%
2/2
20%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 54%
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
21%
+7.0pp
26%
Draw
24%
+2.4pp
46%
Away Win
55%
-9.4pp
50%
Under 2.5
47%
+3.1pp
50%
Over 2.5
53%
-3.1pp
54%
BTTS Yes
51%
+3.1pp
46%
BTTS No
49%
-3.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Paris (K) EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Manchester City (K) EU Bookmakers 60%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
+124% / -48% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
298 · 72% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 345 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Paris (K)
0-5
AWAY Manchester City (K)
28% Ball Possession 72%
8 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 9
2 Corners 7
POST-MATCH Paris (K) vs Manchester City (K)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Manchester City (K) cruised past Paris (K) 5-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Manchester City (K) as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 5-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, Paris (K) had 28% of the ball to Manchester City (K)'s 72%, shots finished 8-14.

What was the final score of Paris (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Paris (K) 0-5 Manchester City (K) in the Champions League - Women's on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Paris (K) vs Manchester City (K)?

Before kick-off our model rated an Manchester City (K) win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Paris (K) 28%, draw 26%, Manchester City (K) 46%. The final score 0-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Manchester City (K)) — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Manchester City (K)) ✗ BTTS Yes
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