Bologna 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Champions League, 18 Sep 2024

📅18/09/2024 · 🕒19:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.89
Draw
31%
3.35
Away
25%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.82
Over 2.5
51%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.19
2-3 Goals
41%
1.78
4-5 Goals
24%
3.68
6+ Goals
12%
15.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.54
1/2
6%
34.5
1/X
7%
13.75
X/1
18%
4.25
X/2
9%
7.91
X/X
14%
4.65
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
24.85
2/2
10%
6.06
2/X
9%
14.35
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 9% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
49%
-4.9pp
31%
Draw
27%
+4.0pp
25%
Away Win
24%
+0.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
51%
-1.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
49%
+1.8pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.5pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Bologna EU Bookmakers 53%
Head to Head
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk EU Bookmakers 28%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +21% / +22%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +93% / -18%
51% Ball Possession 49%
13 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 4
335 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 23.6
Crosses 9.5
Yellow Cards 2.6
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Bologna
0-0
AWAY Shakhtar Donetsk
1.17 xG 0.87
48% Ball Possession 52%
17 Total Shots 4
4 Shots on Target 1
8 Corners 3
391 Passes 436
86% Pass Accuracy 84%
30 Box Touches 17
24 Crosses 8
2 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Bologna vs Shakhtar Donetsk
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Bologna and Shakhtar Donetsk fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Bologna at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Bologna had 48% of the ball to Shakhtar Donetsk's 52%, shots finished 17-4, expected goals 1.17 to 0.87.

What was the final score of Bologna vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Bologna 0-0 Shakhtar Donetsk in the Champions League on 18/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Bologna vs Shakhtar Donetsk?

Before kick-off our model rated a Bologna win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Bologna 44%, draw 31%, Shakhtar Donetsk 25%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Bologna) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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