Wilstermann 2-5 Nacional Potosi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme, 18 Sep 2025

📅18/09/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.8
Draw
19%
3.45
Away
47%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
2.07
Over 2.5
49%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.6
No
49%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
13%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
32%
+2.0pp
19%
Draw
26%
-6.1pp
47%
Away Win
42%
+4.2pp
51%
Under 2.5
44%
+6.1pp
49%
Over 2.5
56%
-6.1pp
51%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.3pp
49%
BTTS No
42%
+7.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Wilstermann EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Nacional Potosi EU Bookmakers 46%
-7% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
1.19/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.12
-50% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +10% / -29%
47% Ball Possession 53%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
303 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 318 · 80%
17.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.3
17.3 Crosses 16.8
4.0 Yellow Cards 4.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Wilstermann
2W-2D-2L
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.83
1.36 xG 1.71
46% Ball Possession 54%
16 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 4
229 Passes 298
74% Pass Accuracy 81%
13 Box Touches 26
15 Crosses 19
3 Yellow Cards 2
05.07.2025 Wilstermann Wilstermann 1-3 HT 1-2 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLPLK
21.05.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 3-4 HT 2-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLPLK
27.04.2025 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 1-2 HT 1-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
28.10.2024 Wilstermann Wilstermann 2-2 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi BOLİ
14.07.2024 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 0-0 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
21.08.2023 Nacional Potosi Nacional Potosi 2-1 HT 0-0 Wilstermann Wilstermann BOLİ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Wilstermann
2-5
AWAY Nacional Potosi
1.97 xG 2.34
48% Ball Possession 52%
13 Total Shots 20
5 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 4
252 Passes 302
74% Pass Accuracy 78%
21 Box Touches 29
30 Crosses 16
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Wilstermann vs Nacional Potosi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Nacional Potosi swept aside Wilstermann 5-2 away from home. Half-time: 0-3. 7 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Nacional Potosi as the likeliest winner at 47%, and the 5-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.

On the day, Wilstermann had 48% of the ball to Nacional Potosi's 52%, shots finished 13-20, expected goals 1.97 to 2.34.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Wilstermann and 1.83 for Nacional Potosi.

What was the final score of Wilstermann vs Nacional Potosi?

Wilstermann 2-5 Nacional Potosi in the Bolivia - LFPB Küme Düşme on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Wilstermann vs Nacional Potosi?

Before kick-off our model rated an Nacional Potosi win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Wilstermann 34%, draw 19%, Nacional Potosi 47%. The final score 2-5 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Nacional Potosi), BTTS Yes — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Nacional Potosi) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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