Marquense 0-2 Guastatoya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Guatemala - National League, 18 Sep 2025

📅18/09/2025 · 🕒03:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
57%
1.57
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
15%
5.64
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.67
Over 2.5
37%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.16
No
62%
1.61
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
39%
2-3 Goals
37%
4-5 Goals
15%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
27%
1/2
3%
1/X
5%
X/1
23%
X/2
6%
X/X
17%
2/1
8%
2/2
5%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
58%
Home Win
60%
-2.2pp
28%
Draw
25%
+2.7pp
15%
Away Win
15%
-0.4pp
63%
Under 2.5
56%
+7.1pp
37%
Over 2.5
44%
-7.1pp
38%
BTTS Yes
42%
-4.1pp
62%
BTTS No
58%
+4.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Marquense EU Bookmakers 64%
Head to Head
AWAY Guastatoya EU Bookmakers 18%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -2% / +5%
1.61/0.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.63/1.59
-13% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -29% / +0%
61% Ball Possession 39%
15 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 3
415 · 83% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 233 · 74%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.9 Yellow Cards 3.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Marquense
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Guastatoya
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 7
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 5
30.03.2025 Guastatoya Guastatoya 1-0 HT 0-0 Marquense Marquense GUAT
26.01.2025 Marquense Marquense 2-0 HT 0-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
06.10.2024 Marquense Marquense 1-1 HT 1-0 Guastatoya Guastatoya GUAT
POST-MATCH Marquense vs Guastatoya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Guastatoya saw off Marquense 2-0 away from home.

This one beat our numbers. Marquense carried 58% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Marquense and 0.67 for Guastatoya.

What was the final score of Marquense vs Guastatoya?

Marquense 0-2 Guastatoya in the Guatemala - National League on 18/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Marquense vs Guastatoya?

Before kick-off our model rated a Marquense win the most likely single outcome at about 58%, with the full match-result split Marquense 58%, draw 28%, Guastatoya 15%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Marquense) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Marquense) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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18 Sep 2025
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