FC Schaffhausen 0-3 Aarau — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Switzerland Challenge League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒21:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.94
Draw
28%
3.28
Away
41%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.8
Over 2.5
43%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.73
No
54%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.18
2-3 Goals
39%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.69
6+ Goals
9%
15.35
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.18 — our 30% vs market 25.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
10%
X/1
8%
X/2
7%
X/X
12%
2/1
5%
2/2
26%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
31%
+0.3pp
28%
Draw
28%
+0.2pp
41%
Away Win
42%
-0.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
52%
+5.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
48%
-5.5pp
46%
BTTS Yes
54%
-8.1pp
54%
BTTS No
46%
+8.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Schaffhausen EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Aarau EU Bookmakers 45%
-5% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
0.98/1.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.74/1.44
-18% / -3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +6% / -20%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
272 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 300 · 76%
18.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
17.1 Crosses 13.0
2.9 Yellow Cards 2.7
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Schaffhausen
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Aarau
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.57 xG 1.60
41% Ball Possession 59%
13 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 8
207 Passes 409
71% Pass Accuracy 83%
19 Box Touches 26
13 Crosses 18
3 Yellow Cards 2
23.09.2024 Aarau Aarau 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
06.04.2024 Aarau Aarau 1-2 HT 1-1 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
08.03.2024 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 1-1 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
27.10.2023 Aarau Aarau 1-1 HT 0-1 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
25.08.2023 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen 2-2 HT 1-1 Aarau Aarau İSV2
19.05.2023 Aarau Aarau 2-0 HT 2-0 FC Schaffhausen FC Schaffhausen İSV2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Schaffhausen
0-3
AWAY Aarau
0.47 xG 3.80
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 22
3 Shots on Target 13
2 Corners 4
351 Passes 358
79% Pass Accuracy 79%
12 Box Touches 33
14 Crosses 11
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH FC Schaffhausen vs Aarau
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Aarau ran out comfortable winners over FC Schaffhausen 3-0 away from home.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Aarau as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, FC Schaffhausen had 50% of the ball to Aarau's 50%, shots finished 9-22, expected goals 0.47 to 3.80.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, FC Schaffhausen had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for FC Schaffhausen and 1.33 for Aarau.

What was the final score of FC Schaffhausen vs Aarau?

FC Schaffhausen 0-3 Aarau in the Switzerland Challenge League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Schaffhausen vs Aarau?

Before kick-off our model rated an Aarau win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split FC Schaffhausen 31%, draw 28%, Aarau 41%. The final score 0-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Aarau), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Aarau) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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