Central Coast Mariners 0-0 Melbourne Victory — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Australia - A-League, 18 Oct 2024

📅18/10/2024 · 🕒00:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.84
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
37%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
2.03
Over 2.5
50%
1.71
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.6
No
50%
2.19
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
27%
3.9
2-3 Goals
39%
1.84
4-5 Goals
23%
3.16
6+ Goals
11%
10.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.9 — our 27% vs market 20.5%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.4
1/2
6%
24.85
1/X
8%
12.6
X/1
13%
6.61
X/2
12%
5.1
X/X
10%
4.88
2/1
7%
30.5
2/2
20%
3.04
2/X
7%
12.4
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
32%
+5.1pp
26%
Draw
27%
-1.0pp
37%
Away Win
41%
-4.0pp
50%
Under 2.5
45%
+4.2pp
50%
Over 2.5
55%
-4.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-8.4pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+8.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Central Coast Mariners EU Bookmakers 35%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Victory EU Bookmakers 45%
+12% / +15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -16%
1.91/1.44 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.38/1.41
+19% / -5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -24% / +19%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
335 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 385 · 82%
27.7 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 27.1
18.9 Crosses 20.3
1.9 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Central Coast Mariners
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Melbourne Victory
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.71 xG 0.94
52% Ball Possession 48%
12 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
439 Passes 370
84% Pass Accuracy 80%
24 Box Touches 25
15 Crosses 20
2 Yellow Cards 2
25.05.2024 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 3-1 HT 0-0 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS
25.02.2024 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 0-1 HT 0-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
13.01.2024 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 1-1 HT 0-1 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS
03.12.2023 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-2 HT 1-1 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS
19.03.2023 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory 2-0 HT 1-0 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners AVUS
31.12.2022 Central Coast Mariners Central Coast Mariners 2-1 HT 1-1 Melbourne Victory Melbourne Victory AVUS
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Central Coast Mariners
0-0
AWAY Melbourne Victory
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 11
1 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 4
353 Passes 320
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
POST-MATCH Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Central Coast Mariners and Melbourne Victory played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

We called this one close before kick-off — 37% / 26% / 37% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Central Coast Mariners had 53% of the ball to Melbourne Victory's 47%, shots finished 13-11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Central Coast Mariners had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Central Coast Mariners and 1.17 for Melbourne Victory.

What was the final score of Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory?

Central Coast Mariners 0-0 Melbourne Victory in the Australia - A-League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Central Coast Mariners vs Melbourne Victory?

Before kick-off our model rated a Central Coast Mariners win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split Central Coast Mariners 37%, draw 26%, Melbourne Victory 37%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (37/26/37)
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