Al Gharafa vs Umm Salal Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Al Gharafa v Umm Salal — Team-Based Signals
Al Gharafa vs Umm Salal Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-2
HT 0-1
Al Gharafa
KAT
1-2
HT 0-1
Al Gharafa
KAT
2-2
HT 1-1
Umm Salal
KAT
Al Gharafa 3-1 Umm Salal — Actual Match Statistics
Al Gharafa saw off Umm Salal 3-1.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Al Gharafa as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.
On the day, Al Gharafa had 55% of the ball to Umm Salal's 45%, shots finished 20-18.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Al Gharafa had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Al Gharafa and 2.00 for Umm Salal.
What was the final score of Al Gharafa vs Umm Salal?
Al Gharafa 3-1 Umm Salal in the Qatar League on 18/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Al Gharafa vs Umm Salal?
Before kick-off our model rated a Al Gharafa win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Al Gharafa 50%, draw 24%, Umm Salal 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Al Gharafa), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.