Yanbian Longding 4-1 Foshan Nanshi — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒10:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
54%
1.72
Draw
23%
3.45
Away
23%
4.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.62
Over 2.5
43%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
2.13
No
58%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
35%
2.46
2-3 Goals
40%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.35
6+ Goals
7%
23.1
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.46 — our 35% vs market 33.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
54%
Home Win
54%
-0.3pp
23%
Draw
26%
-3.2pp
23%
Away Win
20%
+3.5pp
57%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.5pp
43%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.5pp
42%
BTTS Yes
43%
-0.7pp
58%
BTTS No
57%
+0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Yanbian Longding EU Bookmakers 58%
Head to Head
AWAY Foshan Nanshi EU Bookmakers 22%
+14% / +14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -11%
1.31/0.71 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.71/1.22
+11% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / -17%
53% Ball Possession 47%
13 Total Shots 8
6 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
322 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 242 · 73%
17.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 14.3
16.9 Crosses 14.5
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Yanbian Longding
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.85 xG 0.97
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 2
310 Passes 277
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
14 Box Touches 14
16 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.10.2025 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-1 HT 1-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
14.06.2025 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-2 HT 2-1 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
26.05.2025 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 3-0 HT 2-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
03.11.2024 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding 0-1 HT 0-0 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi ÇİN2
21.09.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 0-1 HT 0-1 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
30.06.2024 Foshan Nanshi Foshan Nanshi 2-0 HT 0-0 Yanbian Longding Yanbian Longding ÇİN2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Yanbian Longding
4-1
AWAY Foshan Nanshi
0.45 xG 0.57
50% Ball Possession 50%
9 Total Shots 14
6 Shots on Target 8
0 Corners 4
258 Passes 256
73% Pass Accuracy 73%
12 Box Touches 16
18 Crosses 17
1 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Yanbian Longding vs Foshan Nanshi
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Yanbian Longding swept aside Foshan Nanshi 4-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Yanbian Longding as the likeliest winner at 54%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (58%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Yanbian Longding had 50% of the ball to Foshan Nanshi's 50%, shots finished 9-14, expected goals 0.45 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Foshan Nanshi led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Yanbian Longding and 1.17 for Foshan Nanshi.

What was the final score of Yanbian Longding vs Foshan Nanshi?

Yanbian Longding 4-1 Foshan Nanshi in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - 1st Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Yanbian Longding vs Foshan Nanshi?

Before kick-off our model rated a Yanbian Longding win the most likely single outcome at about 54%, with the full match-result split Yanbian Longding 54%, draw 23%, Foshan Nanshi 23%. The final score 4-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Yanbian Longding) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Yanbian Longding) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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