Shenzhen FC 2-1 Beijing Guoan — Result, Statistics & Match Review — China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒11:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.94
Draw
21%
3.72
Away
45%
1.98
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
40%
2.61
Over 2.5
60%
1.45
Both Teams to Score
Yes
63%
1.39
No
37%
2.75
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
19%
5.71
2-3 Goals
38%
2.02
4-5 Goals
30%
2.47
6+ Goals
13%
5.34
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
4.59
1/2
8%
20.0
1/X
7%
12.9
X/1
11%
7.59
X/2
10%
5.3
X/X
8%
6.33
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
27.0
2/2
27%
2.65
2/X
6%
12.4
Value flag · 2/1 at 27.0 — our 10% vs market 1.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
30%
+3.5pp
21%
Draw
23%
-2.1pp
45%
Away Win
46%
-1.4pp
40%
Under 2.5
35%
+5.0pp
60%
Over 2.5
65%
-5.0pp
63%
BTTS Yes
68%
-4.6pp
37%
BTTS No
32%
+4.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shenzhen FC EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Beijing Guoan EU Bookmakers 50%
-9% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +4% / +4%
1.53/1.82 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.42/1.95
-5% / -33% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +5% / -30%
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
288 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 391 · 83%
23.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.7
23.5 Crosses 14.1
2.1 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Shenzhen FC
3W-0D-3L
AWAY Beijing Guoan
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
0.87 xG 1.83
36% Ball Possession 64%
8 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
3 Corners 7
260 Passes 524
81% Pass Accuracy 88%
14 Box Touches 27
12 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.05.2025 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 3-1 HT 2-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
26.07.2024 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
09.04.2024 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 1-2 HT 0-1 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
04.11.2023 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 0-3 HT 0-2 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİNSL
08.07.2023 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan 5-0 HT 2-0 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC ÇİNSL
11.07.2022 Shenzhen FC Shenzhen FC 2-1 HT 0-1 Beijing Guoan Beijing Guoan ÇİN
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Shenzhen FC
2-1
AWAY Beijing Guoan
0.88 xG 2.03
26% Ball Possession 74%
5 Total Shots 16
3 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 14
133 Passes 484
72% Pass Accuracy 90%
17 Box Touches 35
15 Crosses 41
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Shenzhen FC vs Beijing Guoan
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Shenzhen FC nicked a narrow win over Beijing Guoan 2-1. Half-time: 2-0.

Our pre-match lean was Beijing Guoan at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (63%) came in.

On the day, Shenzhen FC had 26% of the ball to Beijing Guoan's 74%, shots finished 5-16, expected goals 0.88 to 2.03 — the balance of chances actually favoured Beijing Guoan.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 3 apiece. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Shenzhen FC and 2.17 for Beijing Guoan.

What was the final score of Shenzhen FC vs Beijing Guoan?

Shenzhen FC 2-1 Beijing Guoan in the China Halk Cumhuriyeti - Super League on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shenzhen FC vs Beijing Guoan?

Before kick-off our model rated an Beijing Guoan win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Shenzhen FC 34%, draw 21%, Beijing Guoan 45%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Beijing Guoan) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Beijing Guoan) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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