Salford City 1-0 Oldham Athletic — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 18 Oct 2025

Salford City
1-0 HT 1-0
Oldham Athletic
📅18/10/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 ✗ 2nd Score 2-2 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2025/2026

Salford City vs Oldham Athletic Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
33%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.86
Over 2.5
52%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.73
No
43%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
25%
3.14
2-3 Goals
39%
1.75
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
25%
3.4
6+ Goals
11%
13.3
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.4 — our 25% vs market 22.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
2.86
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
8%
13.25
X/1
19%
4.79
X/2
9%
7.05
X/X
13%
4.77
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
24.85
2/2
17%
5.19
2/X
5%
14.0
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 10% vs market 2.0%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
41%
Home Win
46%
-4.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.4pp
34%
Away Win
28%
+5.4pp
48%
Under 2.5
50%
-2.0pp
52%
Over 2.5
50%
+2.0pp
57%
BTTS Yes
54%
+3.4pp
43%
BTTS No
46%
-3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Salford City v Oldham Athletic — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Salford City EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Oldham Athletic EU Bookmakers 32%
-4% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +12%
1.42/1.23 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.17/1.61
+10% / -24% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -16% / +9%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
279 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 294 · 71%
24.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
21.3 Crosses 19.6
2.2 Yellow Cards 1.5

Salford City vs Oldham Athletic Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Salford City
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Oldham Athletic
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
1.62 xG 1.10
48% Ball Possession 52%
14 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
239 Passes 275
66% Pass Accuracy 68%
25 Box Touches 18
16 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
23.04.2022 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-2 HT 1-2 Salford City Salford City İN2
27.11.2021 Salford City Salford City 2-0 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
31.08.2021 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 1-0 HT 1-0 Salford City Salford City İNTK
30.01.2021 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic 2-1 HT 0-1 Salford City Salford City İN2
31.10.2020 Salford City Salford City 2-0 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2
25.01.2020 Salford City Salford City 1-1 HT 1-0 Oldham Athletic Oldham Athletic İN2

Salford City 1-0 Oldham Athletic — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Salford City
1-0
AWAY Oldham Athletic
3.83 xG 0.92
49% Ball Possession 51%
29 Total Shots 15
8 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 7
221 Passes 192
68% Pass Accuracy 61%
51 Box Touches 29
13 Crosses 27
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Salford City vs Oldham Athletic
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Salford City squeezed past Oldham Athletic 1-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had Salford City as the likeliest winner at 41%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Salford City had 49% of the ball to Oldham Athletic's 51%, shots finished 29-15, expected goals 3.83 to 0.92 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Salford City's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Salford City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Salford City and 0.83 for Oldham Athletic.

What was the final score of Salford City vs Oldham Athletic?

Salford City 1-0 Oldham Athletic in the England - 2nd Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Salford City vs Oldham Athletic?

Before kick-off our model rated a Salford City win the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Salford City 41%, draw 26%, Oldham Athletic 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Salford City) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Salford City) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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