Chesterfield 1-1 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 18 Oct 2025

📅18/10/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.8
Draw
28%
3.54
Away
26%
3.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.95
Over 2.5
48%
1.78
Both Teams to Score
Yes
58%
1.75
No
42%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.36
2-3 Goals
40%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.23
6+ Goals
10%
11.75
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
2.38
1/2
6%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.6
X/1
18%
4.42
X/2
13%
8.61
X/X
10%
5.07
2/1 EV+ ✗
9%
23.1
2/2
6%
6.63
2/X
9%
14.9
Value flag · 2/1 at 23.1 — our 9% vs market 2.2%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
52%
-5.6pp
28%
Draw
25%
+3.0pp
26%
Away Win
23%
+2.6pp
52%
Under 2.5
48%
+4.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
52%
-4.2pp
58%
BTTS Yes
53%
+4.5pp
42%
BTTS No
47%
-4.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 56%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 26%
-1% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +4%
1.51/0.85 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.36/1.43
+7% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +35% / -12%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
309 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 302 · 73%
28.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.8
20.8 Crosses 17.0
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesterfield
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.93 xG 0.74
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
461 Passes 181
84% Pass Accuracy 68%
18 Box Touches 20
20 Crosses 18
1 Yellow Cards 2
12.04.2025 Chesterfield Chesterfield 3-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN2
26.12.2024 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
05.12.2017 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İNTK
19.11.2016 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
18.10.2016 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-1 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
26.03.2016 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesterfield
1-1
AWAY Fleetwood Town
0.82 xG 0.54
68% Ball Possession 32%
13 Total Shots 6
4 Shots on Target 2
9 Corners 9
446 Passes 152
85% Pass Accuracy 61%
33 Box Touches 15
32 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesterfield and Fleetwood Town couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was Chesterfield at 46%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (58%) came in.

On the day, Chesterfield had 68% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 32%, shots finished 13-6, expected goals 0.82 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Chesterfield and 1.17 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town?

Chesterfield 1-1 Fleetwood Town in the England - 2nd Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 46%, draw 28%, Fleetwood Town 26%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Chesterfield) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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