Grimsby Town vs Gillingham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Grimsby Town v Gillingham — Team-Based Signals
Grimsby Town vs Gillingham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-0
HT 2-0
Gillingham
İN2
2-1
HT 0-0
Grimsby Town
İN2
1-1
HT 1-1
Gillingham
İN2
Grimsby Town 1-0 Gillingham — Actual Match Statistics
Grimsby Town edged past Gillingham 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Grimsby Town as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — both teams to score (57%) — went the other way, though.
On the day, Grimsby Town had 77% of the ball to Gillingham's 23%, shots finished 25-3, expected goals 2.49 to 0.38 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Grimsby Town's control.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grimsby Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Grimsby Town and 0.83 for Gillingham.
What was the final score of Grimsby Town vs Gillingham?
Grimsby Town 1-0 Gillingham in the England - 2nd Division on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Grimsby Town vs Gillingham?
Before kick-off our model rated a Grimsby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 43%, draw 25%, Gillingham 32%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grimsby Town) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.