Grimsby Town vs Gillingham Prediction — Model Probabilities
Grimsby Town v Gillingham — Team-Based Signals
Grimsby Town vs Gillingham Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
Grimsby Town 1-0 Gillingham — Actual Match Statistics
Grimsby Town edged past Gillingham 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
As we said in the preview, our model had Grimsby Town as the likeliest winner at 45%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.
The goals picture was genuinely open: 49% for over 2.5, 54% on both teams scoring.
Under the surface, possession split 77% to 23% in Grimsby Town's favour, shots finished 25-3, expected goals 2.49 to 0.38 — on chances created, Grimsby Town won this by more than the scoreboard admits.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Grimsby Town had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 1.17 a game for Grimsby Town against 0.83 for Gillingham.
Grimsby Town vs Gillingham Result & Final Score
Grimsby Town 1 - 0 Gillingham in the England - League Two on 18/10/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
Grimsby Town vs Gillingham Prediction vs Result
Before kick-off our model rated a Grimsby Town win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Grimsby Town 45%, draw 27%, Gillingham 28%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Grimsby Town), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.