Chesterfield 3-0 Fleetwood Town — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.02
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
32%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.82
Over 2.5
49%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.1
2-3 Goals
41%
1.75
4-5 Goals
23%
3.5
6+ Goals
10%
14.1
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
2.91
1/2
9%
35.0
1/X
9%
13.4
X/1
14%
4.83
X/2
12%
7.09
X/X
10%
4.72
2/1
11%
25.5
2/2
10%
5.25
2/X
7%
14.1
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
46%
-3.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.2pp
32%
Away Win
28%
+3.3pp
51%
Under 2.5
51%
+0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
49%
-0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chesterfield EU Bookmakers 50%
Head to Head
AWAY Fleetwood Town EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +16%
1.31/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.30/1.37
+8% / -6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +88% / -13%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
324 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 73%
24.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.5
19.2 Crosses 15.2
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chesterfield
1W-1D-4L
AWAY Fleetwood Town
0.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
0.81 xG 0.81
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 4
508 Passes 146
84% Pass Accuracy 64%
19 Box Touches 17
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 3
26.12.2024 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN2
05.12.2017 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-0 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İNTK
19.11.2016 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 2-1 HT 1-0 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
18.10.2016 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-1 HT 0-1 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
26.03.2016 Chesterfield Chesterfield 0-0 HT 0-0 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town İN1
31.10.2015 Fleetwood Town Fleetwood Town 0-1 HT 0-1 Chesterfield Chesterfield İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Chesterfield
3-0
AWAY Fleetwood Town
1.04 xG 0.66
62% Ball Possession 38%
10 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
9 Corners 2
414 Passes 216
84% Pass Accuracy 72%
17 Box Touches 22
24 Crosses 19
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chesterfield swept aside Fleetwood Town 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Chesterfield as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Chesterfield had 62% of the ball to Fleetwood Town's 38%, shots finished 10-8, expected goals 1.04 to 0.66.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Fleetwood Town led the recent series with 4 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.33 goals for Chesterfield and 1.17 for Fleetwood Town.

What was the final score of Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town?

Chesterfield 3-0 Fleetwood Town in the England - 2nd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chesterfield vs Fleetwood Town?

Before kick-off our model rated a Chesterfield win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Chesterfield 42%, draw 26%, Fleetwood Town 32%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Chesterfield) — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Chesterfield) ✗ Under 2.5
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