Newport County vs Colchester Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Newport County v Colchester — Team-Based Signals
Newport County vs Colchester Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
2-1
HT 1-1
Colchester
İN2
0-0
HT 0-0
Newport County
İN2
2-0
HT 1-0
Colchester
FAK
1-0
HT 1-0
Colchester
İN2
Newport County 0-2 Colchester — Actual Match Statistics
Colchester saw off Newport County 2-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Just as the model leaned, our model had Colchester as the likeliest winner at 43%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.
On the day, Newport County had 46% of the ball to Colchester's 54%, shots finished 11-10, expected goals 0.50 to 1.05.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Newport County had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Newport County and 0.50 for Colchester.
What was the final score of Newport County vs Colchester?
Newport County 0-2 Colchester in the England - 2nd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Newport County vs Colchester?
Before kick-off our model rated an Colchester win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Newport County 27%, draw 31%, Colchester 43%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colchester), Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.