Doncaster Rovers 1-1 AFC Wimbledon — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 12 Apr 2025

📅12/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.92
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
27%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.6
Over 2.5
43%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
2.03
No
55%
1.7
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
30%
2.4
2-3 Goals
42%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
4.56
6+ Goals
8%
25.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
2.73
1/2
5%
35.0
1/X
7%
14.65
X/1
12%
4.33
X/2
11%
7.76
X/X
15%
4.09
2/1
9%
29.0
2/2
11%
6.64
2/X
6%
15.9
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
48%
-3.5pp
29%
Draw
28%
+0.8pp
27%
Away Win
24%
+2.8pp
57%
Under 2.5
59%
-1.8pp
43%
Over 2.5
41%
+1.8pp
45%
BTTS Yes
45%
-0.0pp
55%
BTTS No
55%
+0.0pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Doncaster Rovers EU Bookmakers 52%
Head to Head
AWAY AFC Wimbledon EU Bookmakers 28%
-14% / -20% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / -3%
1.39/0.89 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.05/1.15
-10% / -34% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -7% / +34%
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
258 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 235 · 65%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 18.8
23.3 Crosses 17.8
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Doncaster Rovers
2W-2D-2L
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
1.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.57 xG 0.99
53% Ball Possession 47%
9 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 5
280 Passes 224
68% Pass Accuracy 65%
16 Box Touches 15
14 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 1-0 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
24.02.2024 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 1-0 HT 1-0 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
11.11.2023 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-0 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
11.03.2023 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers 2-1 HT 2-1 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon İN2
13.08.2022 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-2 HT 0-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN2
26.02.2022 AFC Wimbledon AFC Wimbledon 2-2 HT 1-0 Doncaster Rovers Doncaster Rovers İN1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Doncaster Rovers
1-1
AWAY AFC Wimbledon
0.98 xG 0.67
71% Ball Possession 29%
18 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 1
12 Corners 3
354 Passes 94
78% Pass Accuracy 51%
36 Box Touches 16
33 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Doncaster Rovers vs AFC Wimbledon
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Doncaster Rovers and AFC Wimbledon shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Doncaster Rovers at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. On goals, under 2.5 goals (57%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Doncaster Rovers had 71% of the ball to AFC Wimbledon's 29%, shots finished 18-8, expected goals 0.98 to 0.67.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Doncaster Rovers and 1.33 for AFC Wimbledon.

What was the final score of Doncaster Rovers vs AFC Wimbledon?

Doncaster Rovers 1-1 AFC Wimbledon in the England - 2nd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Doncaster Rovers vs AFC Wimbledon?

Before kick-off our model rated a Doncaster Rovers win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Doncaster Rovers 44%, draw 29%, AFC Wimbledon 27%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Doncaster Rovers), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Doncaster Rovers) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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