Morecambe 0-2 Carlisle United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 12 Apr 2025

Morecambe
0-2 HT 0-1
Carlisle United
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Morecambe vs Carlisle United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
40%
2.18
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
34%
2.79
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.86
Over 2.5
48%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.73
No
48%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
26%
3.15
2-3 Goals
39%
1.76
4-5 Goals
24%
3.45
6+ Goals
11%
13.6
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
3.26
1/2
6%
31.0
1/X
7%
13.65
X/1
12%
5.12
X/2
15%
6.27
X/X
10%
4.85
2/1
11%
26.0
2/2
14%
4.45
2/X
8%
14.05
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
42%
-2.2pp
26%
Draw
26%
-0.3pp
35%
Away Win
32%
+2.5pp
52%
Under 2.5
50%
+1.9pp
48%
Over 2.5
50%
-1.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
54%
-2.1pp
48%
BTTS No
46%
+2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Morecambe v Carlisle United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Morecambe EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Carlisle United EU Bookmakers 36%
-3% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / -2%
1.51/1.28 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.01/1.14
-15% / +8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / +25%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
258 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 274 · 70%
20.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.0
22.5 Crosses 17.4
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.4

Morecambe vs Carlisle United Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Morecambe
2W-1D-3L
AWAY Carlisle United
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.32 xG 1.50
44% Ball Possession 56%
13 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 8
198 Passes 307
60% Pass Accuracy 69%
20 Box Touches 21
18 Crosses 22
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
26.12.2024 Carlisle United Carlisle United 0-1 HT 0-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
12.11.2024 Morecambe Morecambe 1-2 HT 1-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İNTK
09.11.2021 Morecambe Morecambe 0-2 HT 0-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İNTK
06.03.2021 Morecambe Morecambe 3-1 HT 2-0 Carlisle United Carlisle United İN2
27.10.2020 Carlisle United Carlisle United 3-1 HT 2-0 Morecambe Morecambe İN2
22.02.2020 Carlisle United Carlisle United 2-2 HT 1-2 Morecambe Morecambe İN2

Morecambe 0-2 Carlisle United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Morecambe
0-2
AWAY Carlisle United
0.86 xG 1.08
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 6
176 Passes 157
60% Pass Accuracy 57%
25 Box Touches 14
22 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Morecambe vs Carlisle United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Carlisle United got the better of Morecambe 2-0 away from home. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (40% / 26% / 35%) promised a tight game; Carlisle United found the edge the numbers couldn't.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Morecambe had 53% of the ball to Carlisle United's 47%, shots finished 12-8, expected goals 0.86 to 1.08.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carlisle United led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Morecambe and 1.67 for Carlisle United.

What was the final score of Morecambe vs Carlisle United?

Morecambe 0-2 Carlisle United in the England - 2nd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Morecambe vs Carlisle United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Morecambe win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Morecambe 40%, draw 26%, Carlisle United 35%. The final score 0-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Morecambe), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Morecambe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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