Carlisle United vs Morecambe Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Carlisle United v Morecambe — Team-Based Signals
Carlisle United vs Morecambe Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-2
HT 0-0
Carlisle United
İNTK
3-1
HT 2-0
Carlisle United
İN2
3-1
HT 2-0
Morecambe
İN2
2-2
HT 1-2
Morecambe
İN2
1-1
HT 0-0
Carlisle United
İN2
Carlisle United 0-1 Morecambe — Actual Match Statistics
Morecambe squeezed past Carlisle United 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.
Our pre-match lean was Carlisle United at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) came in.
On the day, Carlisle United had 62% of the ball to Morecambe's 38%, shots finished 7-14, expected goals 1.06 to 2.24.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Carlisle United had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Carlisle United and 1.33 for Morecambe.
What was the final score of Carlisle United vs Morecambe?
Carlisle United 0-1 Morecambe in the England - 2nd Division on 26/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Carlisle United vs Morecambe?
Before kick-off our model rated a Carlisle United win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Carlisle United 43%, draw 28%, Morecambe 29%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Carlisle United) went the other way.