Swindon Town 5-4 Bradford City — Result, Statistics & Match Review — England - 2nd Division, 12 Apr 2025

Swindon Town
5-4 HT 2-3
Bradford City
📅12/04/2025 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
England - 2nd Division – 2024/2025

Swindon Town vs Bradford City Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
30%
3.28
Away
34%
2.23
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
1.71
Over 2.5
43%
2.03
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.85
No
52%
1.85
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
32%
2.72
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
20%
3.95
6+ Goals
9%
18.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.72 — our 32% vs market 29.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
4.86
1/2
7%
28.0
1/X
7%
14.35
X/1
12%
6.42
X/2
12%
4.93
X/X
16%
4.38
2/1
7%
35.0
2/2
15%
3.25
2/X
7%
13.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
31%
+5.3pp
30%
Draw
28%
+2.6pp
34%
Away Win
42%
-7.9pp
57%
Under 2.5
55%
+2.9pp
42%
Over 2.5
45%
-2.9pp
48%
BTTS Yes
50%
-1.8pp
52%
BTTS No
50%
+1.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Swindon Town v Bradford City — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Swindon Town EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Bradford City EU Bookmakers 45%
+7% / +17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / +2%
1.59/1.20 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/0.92
+35% / -7% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -28% / +22%
50% Ball Possession 50%
10 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 6
278 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 269 · 71%
21.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
18.2 Crosses 20.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.0

Swindon Town vs Bradford City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Swindon Town
3W-1D-2L
AWAY Bradford City
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
1.45 xG 1.21
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
279 Passes 275
69% Pass Accuracy 69%
17 Box Touches 25
17 Crosses 18
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
14.12.2024 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 1-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
27.01.2024 Swindon Town Swindon Town 2-0 HT 2-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
07.10.2023 Bradford City Bradford City 1-0 HT 0-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
18.04.2023 Swindon Town Swindon Town 1-0 HT 0-0 Bradford City Bradford City İN2
25.10.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 1-1 HT 1-0 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2
05.03.2022 Bradford City Bradford City 1-2 HT 1-1 Swindon Town Swindon Town İN2

Swindon Town 5-4 Bradford City — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Swindon Town
5-4
AWAY Bradford City
2.83 xG 2.15
73% Ball Possession 27%
27 Total Shots 9
12 Shots on Target 6
11 Corners 0
417 Passes 105
84% Pass Accuracy 55%
47 Box Touches 14
32 Crosses 4
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Swindon Town vs Bradford City
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Swindon Town squeezed past Bradford City 5-4. It was 2-3 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 9 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match split (36% / 30% / 34%) promised a tight game; Swindon Town found the edge the numbers couldn't. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Swindon Town had 73% of the ball to Bradford City's 27%, shots finished 27-9, expected goals 2.83 to 2.15.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Swindon Town had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Swindon Town and 0.67 for Bradford City.

What was the final score of Swindon Town vs Bradford City?

Swindon Town 5-4 Bradford City in the England - 2nd Division on 12/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Swindon Town vs Bradford City?

Before kick-off our model rated a Swindon Town win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Swindon Town 36%, draw 30%, Bradford City 34%. The final score 5-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Swindon Town) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Swindon Town) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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